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    About Flu Forecasting Previous FluSight Forecasts View All
    About Flu Forecasting Forecasts of Flu Hospital Admissions Previous FluSight Forecasts View All
April 19, 2024
  Flu Hospital Admission as of May 4, 2024
  Flu Hospital Admissions as of April 17, 2024
          What to know
          This week's ensemble predicts that the number of new weekly laboratory confirmed influenza hospital admissions will likely decrease nationally, with 890 to 6,200 laboratory confirmed influenza hospital admissions likely reported in the week ending May 4, 2024.
        Interpretation of forecasts
          * Reported and forecasted new influenza hospital admissions as of April 17, 2024.
          * This week, 24 modeling groups contributed 29 forecasts that were eligible for inclusion in the ensemble forecasts for at least one jurisdiction. Contributing teams are listed below.
          * Ensemble forecasts combine forecasts from diverse models into one forecast. They have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance for previous influenza and COVID-19 forecasting efforts, but even the ensemble forecasts may not reliably predict rapid changes.
          * The figure shows the number of new laboratory confirmed influenza hospital admissions reported in the United States each week from September 1 through April 13 and forecasted new influenza hospital admissions per week for this week and the next 2 weeks, through May 4. Hospitals are required to report daily laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations to the National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN). COVID-19 Guidance for Hospital Reporting and FAQs has additional details on this guidance.
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          Chart of the National Forecast Incident Hospitalizations April 20, 2024
                National Forecast Incident Hospitalizations Data
              June 12, 2024
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        State Forecasts
        State-level forecasts show the predicted number of new laboratory confirmed influenza hospital admissions per week for this week and the next 2 weeks by state. Each state forecast figure uses a different scale due to differences in the number of new influenza hospital admissions per week between states and only forecasts included in the ensemble are shown. Plots of the state-level ensemble forecasts and the underlying data can be downloaded below.
                Consolidated Flu Forecasts Incident Hospitalization
                Consolidated Flu Forecasts Incident Hospitalizations
              June 12, 2024
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                State Forecasts All Model Data
              June 12, 2024
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        Additional forecast data and information about submitting forecasts are available.
        Contributing Teams and Models
                Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group (Model: CMU-TimeSeries)
                Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) (Model: cfa-flu-epidemia-light) | (Model: flu-mechanistic)
                CEPH Lab at Indiana University (Model: Rtrend_fluH)
                Columbia University (Model: CU-ensemble)
                Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health (NIH) (Model: Flu_ARIMA)
                Georgia Institute of Technology (Model: GT-FluFNP)
                Iowa State Niemi Research Lab (Model: Nonlinear ASG Hierarchical)
                Los Alamos National Lab and Northern Arizona University (Model: LosAlamos_NAU-CModel_Flu)
                LU Computational Uncertainty Lab (Model: Chimera)
                MIGHTE (Model: Nsemble)
                MOBS Lab at Northeastern (Model: MOBS-GLEAM_FLUH)
                Northeastern University & University of California San Diego (Model: GLEAM_AI_FLUH)
                Norwegian Institute of Public Health – Fjordhest (Model: fjordhest-ensemble)
                Predictive Science Inc (Model: PSI-PROF)
                Signature Science (Model: SigSci-CREG) | (Model: SigSci-TSENS)
                Srivastava Group (Model: SGroup-RandomForest)
                Stevens Institute of Technology (Model: Gradient Boosting Regressors)
                The Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University (Model: CSSE Ensemble)
                UNC Infectious Disease Dynamics (Model: InfluPaint)
                University of Georgia Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases Forecasting Working Group (Model: Copycat) | (Model: INFLAenza)
                University of Guelph Dynamics Training Lab (Model: Composite Curve) | (Model: GRYPHON)
                University of Massachusetts-Amherst (Model: UMass-trends_ensemble)
                University of Massachusetts-Amherst (Model: flusion)
                University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering (Model: DeepOutbreak)
                Virginia Tech, Sanghani Center for Artificial Intelligence and Data Analytics (Model: Ensemble Model)
        On This Page
            * Interpretation of forecasts
            * State Forecasts
            * Contributing Teams and Models
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            * Previous FluSight Forecasts
    Flu Hospital Admission as of April 27, 2024
            * Flu Hospital Admissions as of May 1, 2024
            * Flu Hospital Admissions as of April 24, 2024
            * Flu Hospital Admissions as of April 10, 2024
            * Flu Hospital Admissions as of April 3, 2024
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    Flu Hospital Admissions as of April 10, 2024
  April 19, 2024
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        National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (NCIRD)
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        * Previous FluSight Forecasts
        * Flu Hospital Admissions as of May 1, 2024
        * Flu Hospital Admissions as of April 24, 2024
        * Flu Hospital Admissions as of April 10, 2024
        * Flu Hospital Admissions as of April 3, 2024
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    FluSight
    Unlike CDC’s traditional influenza (flu) surveillance systems, which measure flu activity after it has occurred, flu forecasting provides information about the future, allowing CDC to plan ahead and potentially reduce the impact of flu.
    Flu forecasting provides information about the future, allowing CDC to plan ahead.
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